Efektifitas Penggunaan Analisis Stochastic Oscillator Dan Moving Average Convergence-Divergence Pada Perdagangan Saham-Saham Perbankan di Bursa Efek Indonesia

Authors

  • Debora Siahaan Program Studi Magister Manajemen, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Iskandar Muda Program Studi Magister Manajemen, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Nisrul Irawati Program Studi Magister Manajemen, Universitas Sumatera Utara

DOI:

10.33395/owner.v8i3.2250

Keywords:

stochastic oscillator, moving average convergence-divergence, gain signal, capital gain, abnormal return

Abstract

The objective of the research is to find out how effective stochastic oscillator and moving average convergence-divergence (MACD) technical analysis is in yielding capital gain and abnormal return, viewed from descriptive analysis, analysis of effects, and disparity test analysis by using some theories and previous research results. This research uses daily stock closing price data from the issuers in banking su-sector of the research period of 2015-2019. The research employs descriptive analytic approach, regression analysis and disparity test, supported by IBM SPSS version 25 software. The result of the descriptive analysis shows that buy and sell stochastic oscillator and MACD signals are effective in yielding capital gain. The result of regression analysis shows that gain signal yielded by indicator of Stochastic Oscillator and MACD has significant effects on capital gain in which the probability value (Asymp. Sig) of Stochastic Oscillator on capital gain is 0.000, and the probability value (Asymp.Sig) of MACD on capital gain is 0.000. The result of the disparity test analysis shows that there is no difference in abnormal return in the pre and post appearance of gain signal in Stochastic Oscillator and in MACD

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

        Plum-X Analityc

References

Akbar, M. F. (2020). Perbandingan Sinyal Membeli dan Menjual Secara Manual dan Moving Average Convergence-Divergence Pada Perdagangan Saham?: Pendekatan Analisis Teknikal (Studi Pada Perusahaan Sub-Sektor Pertambangan Batu Bara Yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia 2017-2018).

Bodie, K., & Marcus. (2014). Investment.9th ed. Jakarta?: Salemba Empat.

Brock, J. L. W., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and The Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance , 48(5), 1731–1764.

Caginalp, P. G., & Balenovich, P. D. (2003). A Theoretical Foundation for Technical Analysis. Journal of Technical Analysis, 59, 5–22.

Fama, E., & Blume, M. (1966). Filter Tests and Stock Market Trading . Journal of Business, 39, 226–241.

Gunawan, I. (2013). Metode Penelitian Kualitatif Teori dan Praktik. Jakarta?: Bumi Aksara.

Halilbegovic, S. (2016). Analysis of Weaknesses of The Most Powerful Technical . Independent Journal of Management & Production, 7(2), 367–379.

Isidore, R. R., & Christie, P. (2018). Fundamental Analysis Versus Technical Analysis-A Comparative Review. International Journal of Recent Scientific Research , 9(1), 23009–23013.

Kakani, R. K., & Sundhar, S. (2006). Profiting From Technical Analysis in Indian Equity Markets?: Using Moving Averages. XLRI Jamshedpur School of Business Working Paper, 18, 20.

Kim, J. H., & Shamsuddin, A. (2007). Are Asian Stock Markets Efficient?? Evidence from New Multiple Variance Ratio Test. Journal of Empirical Finance, 15(3), 518–532.

Lento, C. (2007). Tests of Technical Trading Rules in the Asian-Pasific. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 11, 51–73.

May, E. (2018). Smart Traders Not Gamblers. Jakarta?: PT. Gramedia Pustaka Utama.

Mutmainah, & Sulasmiyati, S. (2017). Analisis Teknikal Dengan Indikator Stochastic Oscillator Untuk Menentukan Sinyal Membeli dan Menjual Dalam Perdagangan Saham (Studi Pada Sub Sektor Konstruksi dan Bangunan di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2014-2016). Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis, 49, 3–4.

Naha, A., & Zaidi, Z. A. (2003). Examination of Yields and Spreads of Indian Debt Securities Through Technical Analysis Tools?: An Empirical Study.

Octaviany, P. (2013). Analisis Teknikal Saham Dengan Indikator Gabungan Stochastic Oscillator dan Exponential Moving Average.

Park, C. H., & Irwin, S. H. (2004). The Profitability of Technical Analysis?: A Review. Illinois?: AgMas Project Research Report.

Pinakin, S. N. (2013). Comparison Between MACD with EMA and Stochastic . International Global Research Analysis, 2(12), 101–106.

Prabhata, A. (2012). Efektifitas Penggunaan Analisis Teknikal Stochastic Oscillator dan Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) Pada Perdagangan Saham-Saham Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Sinergi Kajian Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 1–14.

Sujarweni, V. W. (2014). Metode Penelitian?: Lengkap, Praktis dan Mudah Dipahami. Yogyakarta?: Pustaka Baru Press.

Tandelilin, E. (2017). Pasar Modal “Manajemen Portofolio dan Investasi”. Yogyakarta?: Kanisius.

Downloads

Published

2024-06-30

How to Cite

Siahaan, D. ., Muda, I. ., & Irawati, N. . (2024). Efektifitas Penggunaan Analisis Stochastic Oscillator Dan Moving Average Convergence-Divergence Pada Perdagangan Saham-Saham Perbankan di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Owner : Riset Dan Jurnal Akuntansi, 8(3), 2565-2579. https://doi.org/10.33395/owner.v8i3.2250

Most read articles by the same author(s)